Friday, March 26, 2010

UFC 111 Picks

Sorry guys, gotta make this one super quick.

Georges St-Pierre (19-2) vs. Dan Hardy (23-6)
GSP via wrestling, striking and/or submission.
15% chance for Hardy, via random punch while GSP is thinking about Canada, hockey or his Gatorade money.

Frank Mir (13-4) vs. Shane Carwin (11-0)
Multiple sites have reported Carwin looked pudgy and ill at the weigh-ins, but I'm still gonna pick him. Carwin via KO in the 1st or GNP in the 2nd after he takes down Mir.
If Mir can keep it standing and Carwin gases out quick, Mir could take this with strikes in the 2nd or 3rd. I think a sub is unlikely, given Mir would be hard pressed to keep Carwin in one position for a good amount of time to pull anything off.

Kurt Pellegrino (14-4) vs. Fabricio Camoes (10-4-1)
Camoes is an unknown to me, other than he's a Royler black belt, which means he's got a good submission game.
I'm going to take Pellegrino via decision, by using his wrestling to neutralize Camoes ground game. Pellegrino will probably employ the same game plan as when he fought Nate Diaz, just not get subbed at the very end of the fight.

Jon Fitch (21-3) vs. Ben Saunders (8-1-2)
Fitch via booooooooooring decision.
I'm rooting for Saunders only because he's more exciting to watch and if he wins, it'll be an impressive KO and victory.

Jim Miller (16-2) vs. Mark Bocek (8-2)
Miller has been on a roll and don't see why it won't continue here. I see a victory via his superior wrestling and striking skills against Bocek.

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